Linguistique de l’écrit

Revue internationale en libre accès

Revue | Volume | Article

236704

Where do Bayesian priors come from?

Patrick Suppes

pp. 441-471

Résumé

Bayesian prior probabilities have an important place in probabilistic and statistical methods. In spite of this fact, the analysis of where these priors come from and how they are formed has received little attention. It is reasonable to excuse the lack, in the foundational literature, of detailed psychological theory of what are the mechanisms by which prior probabilities are formed. But it is less excusable that there is an almost total absence of a detailed discussion of the highly differentiating nature of past experience in forming a prior. The focus here is on what kind of account, even if necessarily schematic, can be given about the psychological mechanisms back of the formation of Bayesian priors. The last section examines a detailed experiment relevant to how priors are learned.

Détails de la publication

Publié dans:

Hartmann Stephan, Bovens Luc (2007) Bayesian epistemology. Synthese 156 (3).

Pages: 441-471

DOI: 10.1007/s11229-006-9133-x

Citation complète:

Suppes Patrick, 2007, Where do Bayesian priors come from? Synthese 156 (3), Bayesian epistemology, 441-471. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-006-9133-x.