Linguistique de l’écrit

Revue internationale en libre accès

Revue | Volume | Article

236703

Reasoning about the future

doom and beauty

Dennis Dieks

pp. 427-439

Résumé

According to the Doomsday Argument we have to rethink the probabilities we assign to a soon or not so soon extinction of mankind when we realize that we are living now, rather early in the history of mankind. Sleeping Beauty finds herself in a similar predicament: on learning the date of her first awakening, she is asked to re-evaluate the probabilities of her two possible future scenarios.

Détails de la publication

Publié dans:

Hartmann Stephan, Bovens Luc (2007) Bayesian epistemology. Synthese 156 (3).

Pages: 427-439

DOI: 10.1007/s11229-006-9132-y

Citation complète:

Dieks Dennis, 2007, Reasoning about the future: doom and beauty. Synthese 156 (3), Bayesian epistemology, 427-439. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-006-9132-y.