Linguistique de l’écrit

Revue internationale en libre accès

Revue | Volume | Article

236723

Bayesian confirmation theory and the likelihood principle

Daniel Steel

pp. 53-77

Résumé

The likelihood principle (LP) is a core issue in disagreements between Bayesian and frequentist statistical theories. Yet statements of the LP are often ambiguous, while arguments for why a Bayesian must accept it rely upon unexamined implicit premises. I distinguish two propositions associated with the LP, which I label LP1 and LP2. I maintain that there is a compelling Bayesian argument for LP1, based upon strict conditionalization, standard Bayesian decision theory, and a proposition I call the practical relevance principle. In contrast, I argue that there is no similarly compelling argument for or against LP2. I suggest that these conclusions lead to a restrictedly pluralistic view of Bayesian confirmation measures.

Détails de la publication

Publié dans:

(2007) Synthese 156 (1).

Pages: 53-77

DOI: 10.1007/s11229-005-3492-6

Citation complète:

Steel Daniel, 2007, Bayesian confirmation theory and the likelihood principle. Synthese 156 (1), 53-77. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-005-3492-6.