Linguistique de l’écrit

Revue internationale en libre accès

Revue | Volume | Article

236257

Evidence with uncertain likelihoods

Joseph Y. HalpernRiccardo Pucella

pp. 111-133

Résumé

An agent often has a number of hypotheses, and must choose among them based on observations, or outcomes of experiments. Each of these observations can be viewed as providing evidence for or against various hypotheses. All the attempts to formalize this intuition up to now have assumed that associated with each hypothesis h there is a likelihood function  μ h , which is a probability measure that intuitively describes how likely each observation is, conditional on h being the correct hypothesis. We consider an extension of this framework where there is uncertainty as to which of a number of likelihood functions is appropriate, and discuss how one formal approach to defining evidence, which views evidence as a function from priors to posteriors, can be generalized to accommodate this uncertainty.

Détails de la publication

Publié dans:

(2009) Synthese 171 (1).

Pages: 111-133

DOI: 10.1007/s11229-008-9381-z

Citation complète:

Halpern Joseph Y., Pucella Riccardo, 2009, Evidence with uncertain likelihoods. Synthese 171 (1), 111-133. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11229-008-9381-z.