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177369

Biased coins a model for higher-order probabilities

Jeanne Peijnenburg David Atkinson

pp. 241-248

Résumé

Is it coherent to speak of the probability of a probability, and the probability of a probability of a probability, and so on? We show that it is, in the sense that a regress of higher-order probabilities can lead to convergent sequences that determine all these probabilities. By constructing an implementable model which is based on coin-making machines, we demonstrate the consistency of our regress.

Détails de la publication

Publié dans:

Galavotti Maria Carla, Nemeth Elisabeth, Stadler Friedrich (2014) European philosophy of science: philosophy of science in europe and the Viennese heritage. Dordrecht, Springer.

Pages: 241-248

DOI: 10.1007/978-3-319-01899-7_17

Citation complète:

Peijnenburg Jeanne, Atkinson David, 2014, Biased coins a model for higher-order probabilities. In M. Galavotti, E. Nemeth & F. Stadler (eds.) European philosophy of science (241-248). Dordrecht, Springer.